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Monday, February 16, 2009

All is well

The last few weeks, I have been running pretty good. I started the month with a loosing session, but the last 5 sesssions I have been up and, so far, I'm ahead $25 in 2.5k hands. Yesterday was a lot of fun: I definately played my A game: selective but aggressive and when the cards are falling right as well... People were folding when I was (semi-)bluffing and calling when I had the goods.

I was also able to pick up on bluffs by villains. The river bluff seems very popular amongst a lot of players at my tables. Check/calling every street and then betting the river often indicates a bluff. I'm trying to play a bit more aggressive post flop and that really pays off.

After clearing my reload bonus ($10) at Part Poker, I got a mail from Pokerstars about their 25billionth hand promotions, including a nice 25% reload bonus. So, I deposited $80 in my account and will have to accumulate 400 base FPP's to clear that $20 bonus. Because I didn't have a clue how many hands that is at the 5NL, I played a short session of 80 hands and got... 1 FPP. So that's going take a while.

One hand kinda bugged me:

I pick up AA UTG+1 and I make it $0.20 (4BB) to go.
It gets folded to the button, who calls.
The big blind calls as well, and the pot is $0.67

Now the flop comes 8c 7h 5c and the big blind makes a potsize donkbet,
and I go into the tank...

I figure there's 4 possibilities:

he has a straight/set and wants to protect his hand: possible, but I'm very likely to make a cbet, that might be called by the button, so check/raising seems more profitable.

he has a big draw: as flush and/or straight draw. again, possible, but why bet the pot? surely, check/call or check/raise is more likely.

he has some other hand like an over pair: unlikely, why would you bet a hand like that with two people left to act?

he knows this is a bad flop for a big pair or AK/AQ kinda hands and decides to bluff. Possible, but he is OOP.

I just didn't know here and because I had the button behind me, I decided to fold.
I'm sure reraising big here can often be the right play and if it were heads up, I probably would have done just that.

Unfortunately, I didn't get to see my opponents cards, because the button shoved and after a while the big blind folded. In the end, I guess folding might have been the right decision this time. These kind of hands do reveal a lot of info about a players style, so this would have been a big note if the cards had been shown.

Be cool.

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